Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Congress is handling its job? Also featured in the top 10 of least popular senators is former 2020 presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren with a 40 percent disapproval rating (rank 9). But in reality, it’s hard to imagine a Democratic path to the Senate majority that doesn’t come with a Democratic White House win. Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/207579/public-approval-rating-of-the-us-congress/ (last visited October 01, 2020), We use cookies to personalize contents and ads, offer social media features, and analyze access to our website. That warrants a cautious approach until the campaigns’ battleground strategies become clearer. But Arizona, an increasingly diverse state Democrats haven’t won at the presidential level since 1996, voted Democratic for Senate for the first time in decades in 2018, and it's a toss-up heading into 2020.

[14], These races were added to the DCCC's "frontline" list of defensive targets in February 2019. West Virginia Gov. Please create an employee account to be able to mark statistics as favorites. You only have access to basic statistics. ^b The most recent update was made before the filing deadline for the race. The 2020 elections feature an unpredictable and unpopular president, a volatile Democratic primary field bigger than any in history, and a narrow Senate majority that will determine whether the next White House can actually do anything. Since no Democrat filed, it is impossible for a Democrat to win. And we're trying to predict how it will all turn out on Nov. 3, 2020. Election signs of the various Democratic 2020 candidates in Des Moines, Iowa. The GOP is defending only two seats in states Trump lost in 2016. The ratings are half-science, half-art — but all rigor.

U.S. This process has yielded a clear picture of the realigning Trump-era political environment, with education and population density playing becoming increasingly predictive of voters’ choices.

I - 0. The chart below provides a spectrum that analyzes the vulnerability (the chances of the seat switching parties) of the Senate races up this cycle. Phil Scott, a Republican, hasn’t announced whether he’ll also seek a third term. | Zach Gibson/Getty Images. Other than Alabama, Democrats are also defending Senate seats in Michigan and New Hampshire — two presidential battlegrounds where, for now, Democratic incumbents are favored to retain their seats. Though still serving, the results for the election will be void due to the death of a major party candidate, and, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index", "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections", "Secretary Simon Releases Statement on Death of CD2 Candidate", "Minnesota Second Congressional District race delayed after death of Legal Marijuana Now candidate", "MEMO: Democrats Set to Protect & Expand House Majority, as 2020 Kicks off", "MEMO: DCCC Expands Offensive Battlefield to 39 Districts", "Democrats Go on Offense – DCCC Chairwoman Cheri Bustos Announces Initial 2020 Offensive Battlefield", "NRCC Announces 55 Offensive Targets for the 2020 Cycle", United States House of Representatives elections, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2020_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_ratings&oldid=981074474, 2020 United States House of Representatives elections, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from August 2020, All Wikipedia articles in need of updating, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, This page was last edited on 30 September 2020, at 03:40. Cooper has strong approval ratings, but with a crowded ballot — a presidential swing state, hyper-competitive Senate race and the new congressional map — he’ll need to maintain crossover appeal to keep those poll numbers up.

That is six seats shy of a majority, but it’s also significantly closer to the majority than the 192 seats leaning toward the GOP. For details, please see your browser’s Help section (by pressing F1). Senator Mitch McConnell has increased his lead over former Marine Corps pilot Amy McGrath to 12 percentage points according to a public poll released Thursday. Register in seconds and access exclusive features. But now, the GOP says the ongoing impeachment inquiry has given the party a boost of energy and money from their base, one that could threaten the 31 Democrats who represent districts Trump carried in 2016. POLITICO predicts the 2020 election. Twitter; Facebook; Print; Recent Ratings. In your browser settings you can configure or disable this, respectively, and can delete any already placed cookies. And it’s why Democrats are favored to retain their House majority but will face a tougher time taking the Senate next year. That’s because the Senate seats Democrats need to flip are also presidential battleground states, and only a rare handful of presidential-year Senate races deviate from the top of the ticket nowadays. That’s why Arizona is a presidential toss-up state, while longtime bellwethers Iowa and Ohio are not. In, Gallup. Trump’s path in 2020 is clear: He can afford to lose 36 electoral votes from the 2016 race and still win a second term. Those three “Blue Wall” states mentioned above, which Trump flipped in 2016, all start the 2020 campaign as toss-ups, as do three other states Trump carried in 2016: Arizona, Florida and North Carolina. Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election. Mike Parson — both Republicans — are favored to win in 2020, though Democrats are excited about their recruit in Missouri: state Auditor Nicole Galloway. "Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Congress is handling its job?." His job-approval ratings are poor, and his personal favorability scores are even worse. Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2020 presidential election and the 2020 Senate elections, will also be held on this date. The largest — and currently the most competitive — is in North Carolina, where Democratic Gov. 2020 Senate Ratings (September 18, 2020) 2020 Senate Ratings (September 4, 2020) 2020 Senate Ratings (July 10, 2020)

Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. Facebook: number of monthly active users worldwide 2008-2020, Smartphone market share worldwide by vendor 2009-2020, Number of apps available in leading app stores 2020, Big Mac index - global prices for a Big Mac 2020, Profit from additional features with an Employee Account. The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections will be held November 3, 2020. | Evan Vucci/AP Photo. It’s been awhile since the last edition of this piece, all the way back in January as a matter of fact. Republicans struggled to plug recruiting holes and fell farther behind in the cash dash. Statista. * All products require an annual contract; Prices do not include sales tax. ", Gallup, Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Congress is handling its job? The following is a list of generic party ballot polls conducted in advance of the 2020 House of Representatives elections. After Alabama, we have three Republican-held races in the toss-up category: Arizona, Colorado and North Carolina.

Please authenticate by going to "My account" → "Administration". That means Trump can lose Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes) and Michigan (16 electoral votes) and secure another four years in the White House by carrying Wisconsin (10 electoral votes) and every other state he won three years ago. Please contact us to get started with full access to dossiers, forecasts, studies and international data. Please see our.

The other large- or medium-sized states holding governor’s races in 2020 are less competitive. U.S. government - budget by agency for 2021, Breakdown of the Department of Homeland Security budget by organization FY 2021, Public opinion on a Southern-border wall in the U.S., by political party 2020, Trump presidential job approval 2017-2020.

RATINGS SUMMARY. Until that is filled in, it’s difficult to exactly gauge both parties’ strengths and how they match up against each other state-by-state. But polling data, combined with election results since 2016, suggest the political realignment of the Trump era is continuing apace. Most likely outcome: Democratic gain of +3-5 seats. Democrats currently hold 235 House seats — a 17-seat majority — following the resignation Rep. Katie Hill (D-Calif.) earlier this month. [13], These races were added to the DCCC's "battlefield" list in January 2019. Rep. Katie Hill. Democrats need to net four seats next year to guarantee a majority — but they can control the chamber beginning on Jan. 20, 2021, if they net three seats and also win the presidency and vice-presidency.

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$39 per month* Profit from additional features by authenticating your Admin account. Roy Cooper is seeking reelection. | Win McNamee/Getty Images.

And a new congressional map in North Carolina is almost guaranteed to give Democrats at least two additional seats to cushion their majority — and possibly more pending a state court decision about the re-map it ordered earlier this year. Share.

GOP Sen. Cory Gardner of Colorado is the most vulnerable of the three, but Democrats are also optimistic about defeating appointed Sen. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.) for the second straight election cycle, with former astronaut Mark Kelly raising more money than many of the party’s presidential candidates over the first nine months of his campaign. New Hampshire’s Republican governor, Chris Sununu, is running for a third two-year term in a presidential battleground state. (August 31, 2020). Number of government shutdowns in the U.S. by sitting president 1976-2019, Length of government shutdowns in the U.S. 1976-2019, U.S. Congress - public approval rating 2019-2020, Number of undocumented migrant arrivals in the U.S., by method of arrival 2016, U.S. number of alien removals, by criminal status 2006-2018, Predicted number of people working without pay due to government shutdown U.S. 2018, Predicted share of employees on furlough due to government shutdown U.S. 2018, Share of United States public who are impacted by the government shutdown 2019, Number of employees in agencies without funding due to shutdown by state U.S. 2019, Value of pay owed to employees due to U.S. government shutdown by department 2019, Value of lost labor during U.S. government shutdown by department 2019, Number of canceled immigration hearings due to government shutdown U.S. by state 2019, Estimated reduction in federal spending due to U.S. government shutdown 2018-2019, Public opinion on seriousness of illegal immigration in the U.S. 2019, U.S. public opinion on criminality among undocumented immigrants, 2018, Public opinion on the political party most trusted with border security U.S. 2019, Preferred budget negotiation tactic for members of Congress, by party U.S. 2019, Share of American adults who support the government shutdown 2019, Public opinion on who deserves blame for the government shutdown 2019, Public sympathy levels for federal employees on furlough due to shutdown U.S. 2019, U.S. Supercommittee - public view on the blame for the failure, U.S. government - public trend in trust in local and state government, Outside income for lawmakers in the U.S. Congress 2004-2010, Change in religious composition of U.S. Congress from 2009 to 2018, Religious composition of U.S. Congress in 2017, Sectarian composition of Christian U.S. member of Congress 2017, Religious composition of U.S. Congress in 2017, by chamber, Median wealth per member of U.S. Congress 2004-2010, by party, Religious composition of U.S. Congress in 2017, by party, Share of women in the U.S. Congress 1971-2018, Congressional Campaign financing - disbursements of democrats 1983-2018, Number of women in the U.S. Congress, by party 2019, U.S. congress - number of measures introduced 1981-2018, Congressional Campaign financing - disbursements of the Republicans 1983-2018, U.S. Congress - seniority of senators and representatives, Least popular U.S. Even in a great Democratic election in 2018, the party suffered key gubernatorial losses in Iowa and Ohio, two states Barack Obama carried twice but now lean toward Republicans. Sen. Cory Gardner. Democrats need +4 for a majority, +3 to control with White House.